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Wednesday
03Jun2009

Belmont Stakes Week...

Well gang, it's Belmont Stakes week and this is always one of my favorite races of the year because it almost always comes down to strategy. These horses probably will never run 1.5 miles at any other points of their careers and therefore they might have to implore different tactics this time out.

Derby winner and 2-1 favorite Mine That Bird will have to be a little closer this time out as typically one run type closers do not win the Belmont. There are far more closers in this race than there are speed types.

One horse that could be on the lead is Charitable Man. He won the Peter Pan Stakes a few weeks ago and appears to be getting good at the right time. He may be able to get loose on the lead as Da Tara did in '08 en route to a shocking win. Dunkirk, who disappointed in the Derby is the horse that I think will stalk the leader and look to make his move at the top of the stretch. He is the best bred horse in the race, and frankly one of the best bred Colts I've ever seen. Both of his "grandfathers" were classic winners including AP Indy who won the 1992 Belmont.

ChocolateCandy, Mr. Hot Stuff, Summer Bird, and Flying Private all have shown the ability to close and will need to be forwardly placed by their jockeys to be in a good position to contend down the stretch. I'm going to take Dunkirk to win it and use him over Chocolate Candy, Charitable Man, and Mine That Bird. Good Luck!

~Drew

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